In 1981, historian Allan Lichtman and Russian scientist Vladimir Keilis-Borok developed a model called “The 13 Keys to the White House” to predict U.S. presidential elections. This model has accurately predicted every election outcome since, with the exception of the 2000 Bush-Gore race. The keys are true/false statements that assess the incumbent party’s performance to determine if they will win re-election.
The keys cover various aspects such as party mandate, incumbency, economy, policy changes, social unrest, scandals, foreign/military affairs, and candidate charisma. Based on the assessment of the keys, the model predicts the outcome of the election.
According to the latest analysis, the keys suggest a victory for former President Donald Trump in the upcoming election. However, co-creator Allan Lichtman believes that the keys point to a re-election for President Joe Biden or a win for Vice President Kamala Harris following Biden’s resignation.
Ultimately, regardless of the predictions made by the model, it is important for voters to participate in the election and cast their votes. The article emphasizes the significance of voting and encourages readers to stay informed about the political landscape.
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