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Allies are banking on a Trump victory to revolutionize the mortgage system


Republicans are hopeful that a potential Donald Trump win in the presidential election could lead to the privatization of mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, currently under government control since the Great Recession. They argue that this step will increase competition in the housing finance market and reduce taxpayer risk. However, Democrats and some economists caution that privatization could lead to higher mortgage rates, making it more expensive to buy a home.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency has been overseeing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac for an extended period, causing Republicans to push for the end of this arrangement. If government support is removed, the two firms may increase fees to manage risks, which could impact the average American mortgage by up to $1,200 per year. Economists warn that privatization could raise 30-year mortgage rates by 0.43% to 0.97%, adding significant costs for homeowners.

However, proponents of privatization, like Mark Calabria, former head of the FHFA, argue that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are financially stable and ready for private ownership. Calabria believes that removing the conservatorship by 2027 is feasible and necessary to strengthen the mortgage financial system. He dismisses concerns about increased mortgage rates, highlighting the success of other publicly traded companies like Citibank and General Motors.

While the Trump administration has shown interest in privatization, the impact of removing the government guarantee on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac remains a critical concern. Economists emphasize the need to consider market implications and potential disruptions before proceeding with privatization. The final decision on the fate of these mortgage giants will have significant implications for the housing market and homeowners nationwide.

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